Sunday, November 30, 2008

Considering The Latest Outlooks

Well, I was thinking the low pressure anchored over the Aleutian islands of Alaska would cause the jet stream to re-position itself over the next several weeks, but now I have my doubts. That surface low appears to be in a weakening phase going out about 7 days. However, a storm will slam into the British Columbia vicinity, and I would say, for a few days, give the eastern U.S. a break from the below normal temperature regime. Like I stated yesterday, the outlooks posted over the weekends, I don't take very seriously. Until today, when I can see a pattern that appears to be taking place in the week to two week time period. There seems to be a stalling of the main systems during that time that will set a low pressure trough over the Dakotas region, probably blanketing the area in quite a bit of snow. Another, more like the main surface low, will develop on the eastern side of the Great Lakes. It will be far enough east, as it appears, that the cold will be flowing right back into the eastern part of the country, with the exception of the far Northeast. The coldest weather would appear to be in the middle of the country, stretching into the mid-South (compared to average.) I really don't know how long the pattern will stall, but the new forecast for December came out today, and the east remains in the colder than normal pattern of temps. The severe cold over Alaska would appear to be easing looking out two weeks, so that gives the impression that the pattern will be progressive to at least some degree.

Louisville may have its first "tracking" snow tomorrow, if the snow shower activity becomes intense enough. I wouldn't think there would be more than that much because the snow comes with a trough and residual moisture behind the main low pressure system and cold front.

No comments: