Late Next Week

I'm going to be following the MRF guidance for the next 8 days rather closely over the next several days. It is forecasting temps. to hold in the 20s next Wednesday with some snow likely during the day in Louisville. Next Thursday, temperatures start in the lower teens and rise to about 25 degrees. I realize this is just a model, but these models are rarely accurate when forecasting the intensity of arctic cold. It is usually worse!!! It is also calling for widespread sub-zero temperatures across the Northern Plains. I realize that earlier models (other than the MRF) were expecting a snow system to develop in the Deep South the following days, the weekend of the 12th-14th. It should be cold enough well into the southern states for that to occur. I'm just going to wait a few more days before I tackle the possibility of a wintry southern storm. This is just a quick little update on the weather outlook for about a week from now, on this day, Thursday, the 4th of December, 2008.

Just A Few Notes

Well, with the pattern of below normal temperatures and above normal precipitation, the Ohio Valley should be due for several snowfall events in the next two weeks to come, I would imagine. There should be one day of mild weather this week. It should be Wednesday, with high temperatures likely reaching the 50s. But, again, it's a one-day affair. Next week, there could easily be two to four days of milder temperatures. I'm thinking next Tuesday to perhaps Thursday could be near the average for this time of year. But, it seems a reinforcing shot of arctic air should plummet well into the South by the following weekend. It appears the jet stream may become configured in such a way that there's a southwest-to-northeast storm track along the east coast. With above normal precipitation the forecast, could this be a set-up for Nor'easter-type storms? It's difficult to say right now exactly where the predominate storm track will take shape. I feel sorry for folks in Alaska, as below normal temperatures will be accompanied by a tight pressure gradient. That's right, it will be very windy as well. At least, those type of winds aren't expected in the lower 48, well, unless an intense Nor'easter-type storm forms somewhere in the vicinity of the east coast. I am not forecasting a Nor'easter, it's just a pattern that would be suitable for one. The sub-normal temperatures, as a result, shift westward. I feel quite confident that the Ohio Valley will see multiple chances for snowfall. There was some forecasted for today, but it was a bust. Okay, so we can't always get it right. I knew the Weather Channel was way overestimating the system by placing our area in a 1 to 3 inch category. We had two snow showers that weren't even persistent enough to dust the ground. Oh well. There will be many other opportunities for snow this month, so I won't hold a grudge. :o)