Long-Term Forecast for Kentuckiana...

Hello. I wanted to share some of the highlights of the next 15 days for Kentuckiana. First of all, it is appearing that the snowstorm potential for Monday is lessening, as the surface low looks to be forming on the Gulf Coast and then, moving up the East Coast, which is not a scenario which brings much snow to Louisville. I'm taking a stab at the accumulation, given the current projection. I'm thinking an inch or two at most. Some of the accumulation will come from the backlash of moisture as the storm winds up the New England coastal vicinity by some time later Tuesday and Wednesday. These days will not be remotely comfortable in the eastern third of the country with the deepening low and a tight pressure gradient. In other words, it will be windy and cold! Secondly, I wanted to mention the days which will serve as a temporary thaw for Kentuckiana. There should be a two-day warm up with temperatures reaching into the 50s on about February 7th and 8th. We could certainly use a relatively warm spell after all the recent ice and snow. However, a storm will be forming after the arctic cold takes hold of the Ohio Valley once again. Between the 12th and 13th (Friday the 13th... yikes!,) periods of snow will be likely for the Louisville area. Right now, the precipitation appears to be not particularly heavy with a weakening system in the GFS model run this morning. But, I'll be watching the potential of another wintry storm. Well, that's the latest. The models change with every run, so the forecast will continue to evolve. I'm not going to feel completely confident about Monday's snow until about Sunday morning. I'm all for snow, as long as there is no more ice!!! Updates later...