Thursday, December 4, 2008
Late Next Week
I'm going to be following the MRF guidance for the next 8 days rather closely over the next several days. It is forecasting temps. to hold in the 20s next Wednesday with some snow likely during the day in Louisville. Next Thursday, temperatures start in the lower teens and rise to about 25 degrees. I realize this is just a model, but these models are rarely accurate when forecasting the intensity of arctic cold. It is usually worse!!! It is also calling for widespread sub-zero temperatures across the Northern Plains. I realize that earlier models (other than the MRF) were expecting a snow system to develop in the Deep South the following days, the weekend of the 12th-14th. It should be cold enough well into the southern states for that to occur. I'm just going to wait a few more days before I tackle the possibility of a wintry southern storm. This is just a quick little update on the weather outlook for about a week from now, on this day, Thursday, the 4th of December, 2008.
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2 comments:
Rick- It's been a very cold winter in the mid-Atlantic. Since that arctic air mass moved in mid-November, temps have run way below normal for almost 3 weeks. Looks like more of the same. We even got snow here tonight in Maryland (about 1/4"). Last year, we got 7" total for the entire winter. This year, I think we're going to really top that.
Well, the computer models have been all over the place. I'm not commenting about Christmas until about a week beforehand. The week leading up to the holiday looks relatively warm in the east. But, at the end of the 14-day forecast in one of the models temperatures don't get above the negative teens in the Dakotas. So, brutal cold could eventually reach the far eastern part of the country. I'm thinking Christmas week, but there may be cold but no snow. I'd like just a couple inches of snow for the holiday, nothing to cause major problems, just festive flurries! :o)
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